Dwayne Strocen, President of Genuine Trading Solutions says once upon a time a Commodity Trading Advisor was content to be known as a Portfolio Manager trading commodities and futures for a managed futures fund. There is no question today’s investor has become more sophisticated. In response, today’s selection of investment products has become ever more complex and varied, the need for the CTA to understand the uses and management of these products becomes even more acute.

So what exactly is the role of today’s Commodity Trading Advisor. Certainly trading of derivative products for a managed futures fund continues to be as important as before. A CTA has also become more involved with derivative analytics. This role is essentially focused upon becoming an analyst to structure and analyze the more multi-faceted requirements demanded by hedge funds, pension funds and structured products.

The use of derivative analytics to manage the adverse risk of an equity or bond portfolio brought about by adverse market conditions is critical in preserving asset growth. The uses of hedging to prevent volatility has long been understood by the largest institutions but is now available to the smaller sized company and to the individual investor. No doubt as products continue to evolve so too will the CTA evolve to meet the need of today’s professional money manager.

Derivative products are no longer limited to exchange traded commodities futures and options. There continues to be an ever expanding list of over-the-counter derivative products. These are SWAPS. SWAPS and privately transacted products transacted without the use of a recognized exchange. The difficulty is the buyer and seller must find each other to undertake such an arrangement, not always easy. The second problem is no liquidity. There is no one to sell this too should one of the parties wish to terminate the transaction prior to the agreed upon date.

A Commodity Trading Advisor’s role is no longer sufficient to be limited to trading. It is now imperative to understand the industry in a new light so to understand the changing investment environment. Analysis now becomes the catalyst to include a value added service to retain customers. This includes structured products, risk management and OTC derivatives. Continuing education has been and continues to be the hallmark of the best in the industry.

A groundbreaking collection on currency derivatives, including pricing theory and hedging applications. “David DeRosa has assembled an outstanding collection of works on foreign exchange derivatives. It surely will become required reading for both students and option traders.”—Mark B. Garman President, Financial Engineering Associates, Inc. Emeritus Professor, University of California, Berkeley. “A comprehensive selection of the major references in currency option pricing.”—Nassim Taleb. Senior trading advisor, Paribas Author, Dynamic Hedging: Managing Vanilla and Exotic Options. “A useful compilation of articles on currency derivatives, going from the essential to the esoteric.”—Philippe Jorion Professor of Finance, University of California, Irvine Author, Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Controlling Market Risk. Every investment practitioner knows of the enormous impact that the Black-Scholes option pricing model has had on investment an (more…)

Commodity exchange is probably the closest forex trading or any other speculation stoop to the level of the real economy since it involves the status of tangible goods instead of finances. Learning how to trade with commodity currency entails some knowledge on the economic status of the country that uses the currency to be able to speculate on how much income is derived from exports.

Most countries that have commodity currency are developing countries such as Papua New Guinea, Tanzania and other countries located in Africa and Southeast Asia. But there are also developed countries such as Australia and Canada that are viable for commodity forex trading. In fact, in forex trading, Australian Dollar, Canadian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar are generally considered as commodity currencies.

Another example of commodity currency is South African Rand which relies chiefly on exporting gold. The US Dollar is sometimes considered as a commodity and currency as well.

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) World Economic Outlook, there are 53 developing countries and 5 developed countries that depend on commodity exports. On the IMF study, it was shown that real commodity export prices influence the movement of real exchange rates in commodity with currency countries. Whenever a deviation on the real exchange rate on commodity currency countries occurs, it can easily be attributed to the fluctuation of real commodity prices.

Gamma: Gamma is derived from Delta is the odds of a change in Delta. It also informs in advance if the Delta could be changing. Gammas are positive for both the call and put. When options are deep in the money of deep out of the money the Gammas will be near zero as the probability of a change in Delta are very low. Likewise at strike price the Gamma would likely to e the highest.

Theta: Time decay is reflected in the option position as Theta. Options bought have negative Theta, which means that each day you do not sell that option, the time value is declining because of the time decay. In this case, time decay is making it worse for the buyer of the option. When you sell options, Theta is positive, meaning that time decay is good for the option seller.

Vega: How volatility affects the option pricing is reflected in the in Vega. In other words, its sensitivity to volatility. Options tend to have price increases when the underlying asset’s volatility increases. In this case, volatility is good for the buyer of an option and bad for the seller of an option. Vega is positive for long option and negative for short option.

Rho: Rho is how interest rates affect the pricing of the the option. When interest rates are high and it is good for the position, Rho will be positive. If interest rates are high but bad for the option position, Rho will be negative.

There are 5 Greeks involved and we share go through them one by one.

Delta: The speed of the option’s price gain or loss against the gain or loss of the ‘mother’ or underlying asset price is known as the Delta. The Delta is a figure that shows us how fast or slow the option will move relative to its ‘mother’ or underlying asset. A Delta of 1 means the option price is moving at the same speed and direction as the ‘mother’ or underlying asset. A Delta of -1 means the option price is moving in the opposite direction for every point the ‘mother’ or underlying asset moves.

The probability of an option expiring in-the-money is also expressed in the Delta. An at the money call option has a Delta of 0.5; i.e., 50%, meaning a 50% chance of expiring in the money. A deep in the money call will have a Delta of near 1, or 100%, meaning a near 100% chance of expiration in the money. A very out-of-the-money call option will have a Delta of close to zero, meaning a near zero chance of expiring in the money.